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Predictive Profiling Course (English)

Predictive Profiling: today’s security technique

Predictive Profiling is the only method that, through the application of smart interventions, allows your organisation to recognise and halt criminal activities even in a preparatory stage. This technique was developed in Israel and has proven its merit worldwide. The application of Predictive Profiling is also a matter of great interest in The Netherlands.


Predictive Profiling is the most proactive security method in the world

Predictive Profiling targets a potential threatening actor’s capabilities for successfully undermining your security goals, rather than focussing on your organisations’ capabilities for stopping a threat. This seems logical, but this shift in focus is rarely applied in practice. This makes Predictive Profiling the most proactive security method in the world. Predictive Profiling is always complementary to an organisation’s existing security measures, and is not a replacement for them.


Predictive Profiling: how does this fascinating method work?

All technological security measures can be beaten or circumnavigated, because technological measures are based on pre-programed values of threat versus non-threat. These critical levels can be learned and used. Criminals and terrorists are, however, far less efficiently equipped to handle human, and therefor unpredictable, interactions such as confrontations with ‘a question’. Security Questioning, a specialised interrogation technique, is therefor an important weapon in the fight against potentially threatening actors. There are countless examples worldwide of threats that were thwarted through observation and interrogation.


Predictive Profiling and Security Questioning

A Predictive Profiler’s most effective weapon is interrogation, or rather Security Questioning. A potentially threatening actor is unable to prepare for the unpredictable factors in a Security Questioning. In addition to this, Security Questioning can be applied in almost every environment, and it’s free.

Security Questioning is not only the domain of security personnel. Any employee that has the right competencies can add to the awareness and security capabilities of your organisation from within their existing rolls and duties. Fewer procedures and an intelligent approach of visitors/clients will also increase the client-friendliness and hostmanship within your organisation.


Predictive Profiling: Course Objective

The course objective is to teach you the Predictive Profiling Technique and Method. As a Predictive Profiler you ware trained in the detection of deviant behaviour, suspicious indicators and the application of unpredictable interrogation (Security Questioning). After completing the course you are able to recognise suspicious persons and situations on the basis of indicators and are able to act accordingly. In addition to this you are given instruction on implementing the Predictive Profiling Method within your own organisation or that of your clients.


For what professionals is the diploma valuable?

All employees that work in an area that needs to be secured can perform Predictive Profiling. Primarily the following professions come to mind:

  • Security Managers, responsible for the security process
  • Security Advisors within government, business, non-profit organisations and healthcare
  • Managers of Private Security Firms
  • Managers who deal with violence against employees
  • Police, Justice and Special Investigation officers
  • Civil Service
  • Human Resources Managers

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Predictive Profiling Course: exclusive cooperation and partners

De Predictive Profiling course is offered in an exclusive cooperation between SoSecure (founding organisation of Predictive Profiling in The Netherlands), the European Security Intelligence Foundation (ESIF), N’Lloyd and independent examination institute IBEX.



SoSecure is a founding organisation for Predictive Profiling in The Netherlands and is owner of the Red Teaming Group Netherlands.

European Security Intelligence Foundation (ESIF)

The European Security Intelligence Foundation’s objectives are to further advance and develop the field of Security Intelligence in all its forms. This goal is reached by offering training and education programs to further professionalise the field of Security Intelligence and Predictive Profiling. ESIF maintains a register in which persons can be inscribed as Certified Security Profiler (CSP) and/or Certified Security Intelligence Professional (CSIP) granted relevant criteria are met.



The N’Lloyd foundation’s objectives are to combine, advance and guard scientific expertise and practical know-how in this field. N’Lloyd fused with the Registers Risicommanagement Foundation in 2011, also known as NEROB.


IBEX – Institute for Professional Examinations

IBEX has more than 15 years of experience in setting up, organising and conducting independent examinations. IBEX has particular experience in the fields of ARBO, safety and environment in a technical and industrial context.


Predictive Profiling Education Options

Option 1: Open Application

Option 2: In-company training, allowing for the Predictive Profiling technique to be taught specifically for your sector or relevant threats



Starting with as little as 8 participants it is possible to conduct the Predictive Profiling course in-company for a very appealing fee. Contact us for possibilities.


The in-company Predictive Profiling course:

  • Is completely adapted to fit your organisation and/or relevant threats;
  • Is conducted in your own working environment;
  • Saves you time and money; and
  • Grants much more room for open discussion of sensitive information, as no outsiders are involved.


In-depth description

Predictive Profiling: difficulty-level of the course

The level of the Predictive Profiling course is equal to the Dutch post-HBO level.


Course load

The Predictive Profiling course consists of 6 days of intensive classes. Every class day merits around 2 hours of preparation time. The course is finalised with an exam that takes up a half-day. Preparation for the exam takes up 1 to 2 days of individual study effort.


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Predictive Profiling and Red Teaming

Red Teaming is the act of attempting to undermine one’s own organisation by applying a so-called ‘Red Team’. Red Teaming aims to reproduce situations that precede incidents or calamities.

Red Teaming grants insights into the capacities that potential opponents might have in undermining one’s organisation. In this regard Red Teaming has a direct relationship with Predictive Profiling as a tool for identifying potential threats in a preparatory stage. Red Teaming, for this reason, is an important part of the Predictive Profiling method.

Red Teams are composed on the basis of specific expertise and experience. Members can be a part of the organisation, or be attracted from outside of the organisation. A read team can be applied ad-hoc or based on planning. Red Teaming is also possible on a peer-to-peer basis, such as within the Red Teaming Group Netherlands.


Predictive Profiling: factors of success behind the course

The course instructs students in more than just the Predictive Profiling techniques, there is special focus on application methods. Predictive Profiling is not just applicable in high-risk environments, but every environment. The method has been successfully adapted and implemented in varied environments and levels of risk.

This extra knowledge grants students insights into the factors that make the method successful. The technique is also critically reviewed, because profiling is more than ‘just a trick’. Security experts and scientists grant students insights into the possibilities by describing their own research and experience with Predictive Profiling. The classes are supported with realistic, practical and interactive exercises allowing students to apply the information in practice.


Predictive Profiling: diploma

When a student passes the (IBEX) examination, after completing the course, he or she is awarded the internationally recognised Diploma Predictive Profiling.


Certified Security Profiler (CSP): how do you acquire this title?

If a student completes the practical assignment after the course, he or she may be inscribed into the register ‘Certified Security Profiler’, entitling the student to carry the title CSP (Certified Security Profiler) behind their name. The certification is organised by the European Security Intelligence Foundation (ESIF) and N’Lloyd.


Red Teaming Group Netherlands

Students are additionally given free membership to the Red Teaming Group Netherlands. As a member of the Red Teaming Group students not only profit from an exclusive and growing network of like-minded professionals, but are also given access to regular trainings and workshops in the field of Red Teaming and Predictive Profiling.




Day I

Predictive Profiling: Introduction

  • Philosophy
  • History
  • Development of Criminal and Terrorist organisations


Threat-matrix and the Three Gateways Model

  • Criminal and Terrorist Planning Cycles


Day II

Suspicious Indicators

  • Recognising and developing


Red Teaming

  • Scientific and Practical Approach



Security Questioning

  • Scientific and Practical Approach


Day IV

Predictive Profiling: Areas of Application

  • Public Sector
  • Police
  • Business
  • Banking
  • Rental Companies
  • Schools and Education
  • Non-profit organisations
  • Etc.


Predictive Profiling and Human Resource Management

  • Selection of Profilers
  • Competencies
  • Psychology of Predictive Profiling


Day V

Threat assessment and Security Procedures

  • Development of Predictive Profiling Procedures


Deception Detection

  • The science and practice of deception detection


Day VI

Practical Exercises on location

  • Spotting Deviant Behaviour
  • Deception Detection


Predictive Profiling

  • Preparation for Examination



Predictive Profiling Examination


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Instructors who have professional experience in intelligence-, detection- and or security services conduct the practical classes. Additionally, some instructors have experience with intelligence collection in international business and with Security Profiling of passengers on international airports. A number of instructors have improved their knowledge and skills of Predictive Profiling in Israel, the birthplace of Predictive Profiling. Instructors who also teach at Dutch Universities and within Dutch Police conduct theory classes.


Your instructors are:

Mr. Drs. Willemijn Aerdts

Willemijn Aerdts is owner of Bureau Aerdts, which conducts consultancy and advisory tasks in the field of policy and security. As a lecturer, she is connected to the Ad de Jonge Centre for Intelligence- and Security Studies at the University of Amsterdam. She has previously worked for the Dutch Ministry of Foreign affairs as a researcher. Willemijn Aerdts is currently co-chairperson of the Worldconnectors and is affiliated with the World Economic Forum as a Global Shaper.


Wil Houtzager

Wil Houtzager is a HR-advisor and parter in NextHRM. NextHRM offers a new generation of solutions for all modern human- and organisational challenges. Before this Wil was HR-director at EY (Ernst & Young), director of the Human Capital Group of Deloitte and director of the Lemniscaat School of Management.


Leen van der Plas RSE


Leen van der Plas is owner and director of SoSecure and the Knowledgecentre Security Intelligence. He studied at the Dutch Police Academy and has many years of experience in undercover, counterterrorism and intelligence work within the National Police. He lead a detective squad for serious organised crime on Aruba and implemented special detection techniques in the Kingdom’s oversees territories. He was responsible for the merging of the National Detective Squad, the Technical Operational Support Service and the Special Detective Squad of the KLPD (now National Police). He led a criminal intelligence unit of a special detective service. He also studied for a Minor’s Degree in Intelligence and Security Studies at the University of Amsterdam, where he is now a guest lecturer on Predictive Profiling and The Wire. He is interested in proactive security, red teaming and private intelligence and is developing the Knowledgecentre Security Intelligence for further study and implementation of these topics.


Neal Conijn

Neal Conijn is a researcher and consultant at SoSecure and affiliated with the Knowledgecenter Security Intelligence. He studied Psychology, Intelligence Studies and Crisis- and Security Management at Leiden University and the University of Amsterdam. Before working at SoSecure Neal was a member of the Red Teaming Task Group at the Ad de Jonge Center for Intelligence and Security Studies.


Dr. Bruno Verschuere

Bruno Verschuere is associate professor Forensic Psychology at the University of Amsterdam. He is an honorary research fellow at Ghent University (LipLab) and Maastricht University (Forensic Psychology). Bruno has published articles on, amongst other things, deception and deception detection, psychopathy and fear. He also published the book Memory Detection (2011). Bruno instructs Memory and Deception Detection in the Predictive Profiling Course.


In addition to these speakers a number of guest lecturers are invited from public office and businesses.